SMMG 讲堂 | Dr. Sinan XIAO
Uncertainty widely exists in many engineering problems, such as measurement uncertainty, model uncertainty, parameter uncertainty, and manufacturing uncertainty. These uncertainties will affect the design and manufacture of engineering products. An important issue is how to properly deal with these uncertainties and get more reliable and robust engineering products. In this talk, I will discuss using Bayesian statistics to deal with uncertainty and help provide a better model prediction, especially when the physical model is not accurate (a low-fidelity model), combing experimental measurement data. In addition, I will also discuss using Bayesian statistics for reliability sensitivity analysis, i.e., measuring the effects of random parameters on the failure of structures, which will be helpful for failure control and reliability-based design. Some results will be shown with composite material coupon structures.